Chelsea v Arsenal and other weekend picks
Another weekend and another match that we feel obliged to talk up, even though we don’t really see anything ‘tip-able’ in it.
October 28th, 2011
Chelsea and Arsenal meet at the Bridge on Saturday lunchtime in a battle to decide which London club is most likely to finish third, behind the two Manchester clubs.
Arsenal, after their dismal start to the season, have bounced back in the Premier League and climbed to the lofty heights of seventh in the table.
Arsene Wenger’s side make the short journey to West London in fine fettle, having won their last four matches in all competitions whereas Chelsea come into this match after a defeat at QPR in their last league outing.
However, we think Chelsea will bounce back in a match that should have goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the league in October and they’ve only kept one each in the Champions League (Chelsea holding off Genk and Arsenal keeping Marseille at bay). Therefore, because we feel obliged to tip on these big games, we’re going to take up BlueSQ’s offer of 3/4 on both teams to score.
Moving on to other games in the Premier League, where we think that there is money to be made at the DW Stadium, with Wigan hosting travel-sick Fulham in a match that will bring out the obligatory “relegation six-pointer” clichés.
Martin Jol’s men have won just once away from the Cottage this season, that being a 3-1 success in the Europa League over Crusaders and they head to the North West to face a side in desperate need of a victory. Franco Di Santo and midfielder James McCarthy should be back for Roberto Martinez and we think that 6/5 on Wigan, with the security of the draw no bet, is worth a look.
The other game in the Premier League to tickle our fancy is Wolves’ trip to Man City, a side that they lost 5-2 to on Wednesday night.
Expect a change in the line-ups for both sides but don’t expect a change in the result. We’re backing City -2.5 on the Asian Handicap.
In the Championship, we think that the 5/2 available on Ipswich is something of an over-price, based on seemingly little more than last weekend’s results for both of these sides.
Millwall put the final nail in Sven’s coffin at Leicester with a 3-0 win, whilst the Tractor Boys lost 1-0 to in-form Crystal Palace.
But we think that Ipswich can bounce back against the Lions, who are still struggling towards the foot of the table and their previous good results on the road at West Ham, Middlesbrough and Cardiff give us confidence.
In League One, we’re backing both the first and second placed teams to get results on the road against sides that are struggling for form.
Leaders Charlton head to Hartlepool on Saturday, with the home side’s form reading just one win in the last five (a 3-2 win at lowly Chesterfield) and the Addicks look good value at 6/4.
Huddersfield on the other hand are at bottom of the table Yeovil, a side who hasn’t won in the last eight. There’s no value backing the Terriers outright so instead, we’ll back them to be leading at half-time and full-time.
Finally, we’re going abroad to churn our stereotypes about boring Italian football with very few goals.
Inter play Juventus on Saturday in a typically boring Italian football match with very few goals, so back <2.5 goals at 10/13. Inter’s last three results read 1-0, 1-0, 1-1 whilst five of Juventus’ eight games this season have seen two goals or less.
Wigan Athletic vs Fulham: Wigan (draw no bet) – 6/5 (Ladbrokes)
Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Manchester City -2.5 (Asian Handicap) – 13/10 (Bet365)
Millwall vs Ipswich Town: Ipswich – 5/2 (Victor Chandler)
Yeovil vs Huddersfield Town: Huddersfield/Huddersfield (HT/FT) – 9/5 (BlueSQ)
Hartlepool vs Charlton: Charlton 6/5 (William Hill)
Inter Milan vs Juventus: Under 2.5 goals – 10/13 (188Bet)